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2024-12-14 07:47:40

My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.Write it at the endIt shows that the higher the market is, the higher the probability of the index going high and low is.


1. The market covered the gap on Wednesday and supported at 3400 points. The rest of this week fluctuated upward. After the market walked out of the day trip, the irrational rise today, including the differences after the high opening and the fall, was digested in the remaining days, and the index rose above 3500 points in the later period.The high opening and low going of the index are nothing more than the T+1 trading mechanism, quantitative funds, poor short-term market trends and other reasons, resulting in a high probability of the stock market opening after news stimulation and low going due to emotional influence.There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:


Today's market is too dramatic, indicating that it is normal for the stock market to open higher and fall back. More investors are divided on the further rise of the market.Happily, after the close, it stabilized at least above 3,400 points. Although the midday index fell further, individual stocks still rose by more than 2,800 points, with 115 daily limit stocks. At least not yet after the high opening and falling back, the market's general decline came. The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is also 2 trillion yuan, and the volume exceeds 500 billion yuan.Then, the early morning index opened higher and went lower, and the late session accelerated, which means that the market divergence will affect tomorrow's market. Can be known from two pieces of information.

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